Wed 30-April-2025

Political ambiguity or a doomsday weapon: Why Abbas abandoned Oslo

Wednesday 27-May-2020

This time we are told it is different and that President of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas is absolutely serious about his decision to absolve his leadership from all previous agreements signed with Israel and the United States.

But this time is not different and Abbas is not serious.

“The Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and the state of Palestine are absolved … of all the agreements and understandings with the American and Israeli governments … including the security ones” Abbas declared at an emergency meeting of his leadership held in Ramallah on May 19.

Unsurprisingly there were no massive demonstrations reported throughout Occupied Palestine in support of Abbas’ latest decision. Aside from a few loyalists in PA-controlled media it seemed as if the man did not utter a word let alone cancel all agreements that justified the very existence of his Authority over the course of nearly 30 years.

The demonstrable truth is that Abbas ceased to matter to Palestinians a long time ago. However for Israel he mattered greatly because his Authority has served as an additional security buffer between occupied Palestinians and the occupation army. Thanks to ‘security coordination’ Israel was allowed to fortify its occupation in peace.

Palestinians have long lost faith in Abbas as proved by one public opinion after another. This is not a sudden occurrence but the accumulation of decades of failure and disappointments. Abbas’ commitment to the Oslo Accords led to absolutely nothing except for the creation of a massive and utterly corrupt security apparatus that largely exists to ‘coordinate’ the subjugation of Palestinians with their Israeli oppressors.

Since his advent to power in 2005 Abbas and his faithful followers within the Fatah party became obsessed with their enmity not with Israel and the United States but with Abbas’ own Palestinian rivals within Fatah itself – Mohammed Dahlan etc. – and to a larger extent with Hamas in Gaza.

Israel mainly factored in Abbas’ many speeches in Ramallah and at the UN General Assembly in New York; despite all the rhetoric little or no action ever followed. Concurrently Israeli soldiers and illegal Jewish settlers carried on with their systematic abuse of Palestinians unhindered.

Not once did Abbas’ ever-growing security forces (estimated at 80000 strong) move to block the path of a single Israeli bulldozer demolishing a Palestinian home or uprooting an ancient olive grove in the West Bank. Nor did they prevent the arrest of an anti-Israeli occupation activist. Often they carried out the arrests themselves.

Even as Israel was pounding Gaza with massive bombs and white phosphorus Abbas continued barking insults at his Palestinian enemies. He berated Gaza’s armed resistance yet offered no meaningful alternative to whatever version of ‘resistance’ he championed.

But if Abbas managed to co-exist under these humiliating conditions why did he decide to cancel the agreements now? To answer this first let us look at the political context of Abbas’ decision.

In February 2015 Abbas threatened to sever security ties with Israel as a response to the Israeli decision to withhold millions of dollars of Palestinian tax revenues which Tel Aviv obtains on behalf of the PA. Similar threats were made in July 2017 this time in response to Israel’s illegal measures around the Muslim holy sites in occupied Jerusalem. And again in September 2018 when the US unilaterally recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel. And yet again in July 2019 when Israel demolished Palestinian homes in occupied East Jerusalem.

The latest episode Abbas’s threat to dissolve the PA was in response to the American announcement of the so-called ‘Deal of the Century’.

These are only the notable threats that registered in media coverage. In reality Abbas has waged his ‘war’ on Israel in the form of endless threats that were always met with disdain in Israel.

The difference this time is because Abbas has never experienced this degree of abandonment and political vulnerability. Discarded by the Americans and disowned by the Israelis Abbas’ credibility is at an all-time low. More importantly the Palestinian people have long abandoned any illusion that the path of liberation will go through Abbas’ office in Ramallah.

Overwhelmed by many odds Abbas decided to conduct what is most likely to be his final political act. What happens next matters little because at this stage the 84-year-old Palestinian leader is left with nothing to lose.

Canceling the Palestinian commitment to the agreements should translate into little on the ground considering that Israel and the US have already reneged on these agreements.

The Oslo Accords were meant to be relevant up to a point until 1999 when the final status negotiations were meant to be held as the last step before the establishment of an independent Palestinian State.

Jerusalem like the rights of Palestinian refugees was meant to be resolved then not to be completely “taken off the table” two decades later. No territorial swap let alone annexation was to be permitted without a bilateral agreement between both parties.

Only two components of these agreements survived Israel’s numerous violations: the ‘security coordination’ and the ‘donors’ money’ which kept the PA and its massive – but useless – army in operation.

Now that the US has withheld all funds to Abbas’ Authority and Israel’s new national unity government has agreed in principle to annex much of the West Bank Abbas is left with nothing.

By canceling all agreements Abbas and his supporters are hoping that alarm bells sound in Washington and Tel Aviv especially since the halting of ‘security coordination’ could prove costly to the safety of Israel’s Jewish settlers.

If Abbas was indeed serious in his announcement he would have included in his speech a clear articulation of a new Palestinian political agenda that is predicated on unity – but a true Palestinian strategy was never the PA leader’s ultimate goal.

What Mahmoud Abbas is hoping to achieve with his latest theatrics is the establishment of a new political game one that is based on political ambiguity so that he is not entirely abandoned by his Western backers or finally shunned as a collaborator by his own people.

– Ramzy Baroud is a journalist author and editor of Palestine Chronicle. He has authored a number of books on the Palestinian struggle including ‘The Last Earth: A Palestinian Story’. Baroud has a Ph.D. in Palestine Studies from the University of Exeter and is a Non-Resident Scholar at Orfalea Center for Global and International Studies University of California Santa Barbara.

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