Israel wants to change the rules of the game entirely. With unconditional support from the Trump Administration Tel Aviv sees a golden opportunity to redefine what has for decades constituted the legal and political foundation for the so-called ‘Palestinian-Israeli conflict.’
While US President Donald Trump’s foreign policy has thus far been erratic and unpredictable his administration’s ‘vision’ in Israel and Palestine is systematic and unswerving. This consistency seems to be part of a larger vision aimed at liberating the ‘conflict’ from the confines of international law and even the old US-sponsored ‘peace process.’
Indeed the new strategy has so far targeted the status of East Jerusalem as an Occupied Palestinian city and the Right of Return for Palestinian refugees. It aims to create a new reality in which Israel achieves its strategic goals while the rights of Palestinians are limited to mere humanitarian issues.
Unsurprisingly Israel and the US are using the division between Palestinian factions Fatah and Hamas to their advantage. Fatah dominates the Palestinian Authority (PA) in Ramallah while Hamas controls besieged Gaza.
A carrot and a stick scenario are being applied in earnest. While for years Fatah received numerous financial and political perks from Washington Hamas subsisted in isolation under a permanent siege and protracted state of war. It seems that the Trump Administration – under the auspices of Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law Jared Kushner – are turning the tables.
The reason that the PA is no longer the ‘moderate’ Palestinian leadership it used to be in Washington’s ever self-serving agenda is that Mahmoud Abbas has decided to boycott Washington in response to the latter’s recognition of all of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. True Abbas’ subservience has been successfully tested in the past but under the new administration the US demands complete ‘respect’ thus total obedience.
Hamas which is locked in Gaza between closed borders from every direction has been engaging Israel indirectly through Egyptian and Qatari mediation. That engagement has so far resulted in a short-term truce while a long-term ceasefire is still being discussed.
The latest development on that front was the visit by Kushner accompanied with Middle East envoy Jason Greenblatt to Qatar on August 22. There Gaza was the main topic on the agenda.
So why is Gaza which has been isolated (even by the PA itself) suddenly the new gate through which the top US Israeli and regional officials are using to reactivate Middle East diplomacy?
Ironically the suffocation of Gaza is particularly intense these days. The entire Gaza Strip is sinking deeper in its burgeoning humanitarian crisis with August being one of the most gruelling months.
A series of US financial aid cuts have targeted the very socio-economic infrastructure that allowed Gaza to carry on despite extreme poverty and the ongoing economic blockade.
On August 31 Foreign Policy magazine reported that the US administration is in the process of denying the UN Palestinian refugees agency UNRWA – which has already suffered massive US cuts since January – of all funds. Now the organization’s future is in grave peril.
The worrying news came only one week after another announcement in which the US decided to cut nearly all aid allocated to Palestinians this year – $200 million mostly funds spent on development projects in the West Bank and humanitarian aid to Gaza.
So why would the US manufacture a significant humanitarian crisis in Gaza – which suits the right-wing government of Benjamin Netanyahu well – while simultaneously engaging in discussions regarding the urgent need to end Gaza’s humanitarian woes?
The answer lies in the need for the US to manipulate aid to Palestinians to exact political concessions for Israel’s sake.
Months before rounds of Egyptian-sponsored indirect talks began between Israel and Hamas there has been an unmistakable shift in Israeli and US attitudes regarding the future of Gaza:
On January 31 Israel presented to a high-level conference in Brussels ‘humanitarian assistance plans’ for Gaza at a proposed cost of $1 billion. The plan focuses mostly on water distillation electricity gas infrastructure and upgrading the joint industrial zone at the Erez crossing between Gaza and Israel. In essence the Israeli plan is now the core discussion about the proposed long-term ceasefire.
The meeting was attended by Greenblatt along with Kushner who is entrusted with implementing Trump’s unclear vision inappropriately termed ‘the deal of the century.’
Two months later Kushner hosted top officials from 19 countries to discuss the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.
There is a common thread between all of these activities.
Since the US decided to defy international law and move its embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem last December it has been in search of a new strategy that will circumvent the PA in Ramallah.
PA President Abbas whose political apparatus is mostly reliant on ‘security coordination’ with Israel US political validation and financial handouts has little with which to bargain.
Hamas has relatively greater political capital – as it has operated with less dependency on the Israeli-US-western camp. But years of relentless siege interrupted by massive deadly Israeli wars have propelled Gaza into a permanent humanitarian crisis.
While a temporary truce between Israel and Hamas-led Palestinian groups in Gaza went into effect on August 15 a long-term ceasefire is still being negotiated. According to the Israeli daily ‘Haaretz’ citing Israeli officials the truce would include a comprehensive ceasefire opening all border crossings expansion of the permitted fishing area off the Gaza coast and the overhauling of Gaza’s destroyed economic infrastructure – among other stipulations.
Concurrently Palestinian officials in Ramallah are fuming. ‘Chief negotiator’ Saeb Erekat accused Hamas of trying to “destroy the Palestinian national project” by negotiating a separate agreement with Israel. The irony is that the Fatah-dominated Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and PA have done just that for over 25 years.
However delinking the future of Gaza from the fate of all Palestinians can indeed lead to dangerous consequences.
Regardless of whether a permanent truce is achieved between Israel and the Hamas-led Gaza factions the sad truth is that whatever grand illusion is harboured by Washington and Tel Aviv at the moment is almost entirely based on exploiting Palestinian divisions for which the Palestinian leadership is to be wholly blamed.
– Ramzy Baroud is a journalist author and editor of Palestine Chronicle.
